Sarcopenia Predicts Post-transplant Mortality in Acutely Ill Men Undergoing Urgent Evaluation and Liver Transplantation

Background. We examined the association between sarcopenia and post-transplant mortality in acutely ill inpatients with cirrhosis who underwent urgent liver transplantation. Methods. Included were inpatients at 4 centers who were urgently listed as nonstatus 1 and transplanted from 2005 to 2017 with an abdominal computed tomography scan <90 days before transplantation. Skeletal muscle index (SMI) = total skeletal muscle cross-sectional area at the L3 vertebral level, normalized to height. Cox regression associated SMI with post-transplant mortality. Optimal search identified SMI cutoffs to detect survival. Results. Of 126 inpatients, 63% were male patients, model for end-stage liver disease (MELDNa) was 32, and follow up was 5.1 years. Among men, 23% died. Median SMI was lower in men who died versus survived (45 versus 51cm²/m²). SMI was associated with post-transplant mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.96 per cm²/m², 95% CI 0.92-0.99). Patients with SMI ≤ 48cm²/m² versus >48cm²/m² experienced higher rates of death at 1 year (86% versus 95%) and 3 years (73% versus 95%) (Log-rank P = 0.01). In MELD-adjusted analysis, sarcopenia was strongly associated with post-transplant mortality (HR = 4.39, 95% CI 1.49-12.97). Among women, 35% died. Median SMI was similar in women who died versus survived (45 versus 44cm²/m²). SMI was not associated with post-transplant mortality (HR = 1.02, 95% CI 0.96-1.09). Optimal search did not identify any SMI cutoff that predicted post-transplant mortality. Conclusions. Among patients who underwent urgent inpatient evaluation and liver transplantation, we identified an SMI cutoff value of 48cm²/m² to predict post-transplant mortality in men. Our data support the use of SMI as a tool to capture the impact of muscle depletion on post-transplant mortality in acutely ill men with cirrhosis undergoing urgent liver transplantation.